Analytical review · Quarter ended June 27, 2026 (Q3 of fiscal year 2026)
Bakshi Finance — Family Office | Research Depth: Comprehensive
What this review is based on. Apple's Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 27, 2026, filed July 31, 2026; the 10-Qs for Q1 and Q2; the Form 10-K for fiscal 2025; the quarterly earnings releases from October 2025 to July 2026; and the Form 8-K filings on the CEO transition. Apple's fiscal year ends in late September. Market data: closing price on Oct 5, 2026; Bank of Israel representative USD rate for the same day.
Apple Inc. designs and sells personal devices — iPhone, Mac, iPad, Watch, AirPods and home products — and runs a services layer around them: the App Store, advertising, cloud storage, payments, music and video, and licensing payments from search providers. The company is headquartered in Cupertino, California, and employs more than 150,000 people. Manufacturing is largely outsourced; Apple designs the key chips in its products itself.
Revenue for the 12 months ended June 2026 was $466.8 billion. iPhone alone was about half of revenue in the latest quarter (49.6%). Services were 28.1% of revenue but 42.4% of gross profit, on a services gross margin of about 76%. In January 2026 the company reported more than 2.5 billion active devices.
On September 1, 2026, after the end of the reporting period, John Ternus, who had led hardware engineering, succeeded Tim Cook as CEO. Cook became Executive Chair of the Board. Apple has no controlling shareholder and a single class of shares.
In the April–June 2026 quarter revenue rose 16.4% to $109.4 billion. iPhone rose 21.7% ("primarily Pro models", per the filing), Mac rose 28.7% on laptops, and Services rose 12.1%. iPad fell 5.9%. Net income rose 27.1% to $29.8 billion.
What needs to be normalized: in February 2026 the U.S. Supreme Court struck down certain tariffs imposed in 2025, and Apple applied for a refund. The first refunds were recorded this quarter as a reduction of cost of sales. According to the earnings release, they added about 2 percentage points to gross margin and $0.11 to EPS. Excluding the refunds: gross margin of about 48.3% (vs 46.5% a year earlier) and EPS of $1.91, up 21.7%. No refunds were recorded in Q1 or Q2.
| $ millions | Q3 FY25 | Q4 FY25 | Q1 FY26 | Q2 FY26 | Q3 FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 94,036 | 102,466 | 143,756 | 111,184 | 109,417 |
| iPhone | 44,582 | 49,025 | 85,269 | 56,994 | 54,252 |
| Services | 27,423 | 28,750 | 30,013 | 30,976 | 30,739 |
| Gross margin | 46.5% | 47.2% | 48.2% | 49.3% | 50.1% |
| Research & development | 8,866 | 8,866 | 10,887 | 11,419 | 11,729 |
| Net income | 23,434 | 27,466 | 42,097 | 29,578 | 29,789 |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 1.57 | 1.85 | 2.84 | 2.01 | 2.02 |
Over fiscal 2021–2025 revenue grew 3.3% a year on average and EPS 7.4% a year, mostly through a shrinking share count. Each of the three quarters of fiscal 2026 grew 16%–17%. In other words, the current year is unusual relative to the four years before it. R&D rose 32% in the quarter to 10.7% of revenue, which the filing attributes mainly to infrastructure costs, including investments in artificial intelligence.
| Fiscal year, $ billions | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 12 months to 6/2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 365.8 | 394.3 | 383.3 | 391.0 | 416.2 | 466.8 |
| Net income | 94.7 | 99.8 | 97.0 | 93.7* | 112.0 | 128.9 |
| Free cash flow | 93.0 | 111.4 | 99.6 | 108.8 | 98.8** | 136.7 |
| Buybacks and dividends | 100.4 | 104.2 | 92.6 | 110.2 | 106.1 | 97.9 |
* Includes a one-time $10.2 billion tax charge related to the European Commission's Ireland State Aid decision. ** Includes the $15.8 billion tax payment to Ireland (released from escrow).
At June 27, 2026 Apple held $146.5 billion in cash and marketable securities, of which $84.1 billion were long-term securities. Financial debt: $82.3 billion of notes and $2.0 billion of commercial paper. Net cash rose from $33.8 billion in September 2025 to $62.2 billion in June 2026. Over the nine months the company repaid $8.1 billion of notes and $5.9 billion of commercial paper, and issued no new debt.
Capital return: over the nine months Apple repurchased 215 million shares for $61.8 billion (about $287 per share on average) and paid $11.8 billion in dividends. In April 2026 an additional $100 billion repurchase program was authorized, and the quarterly dividend rose 4% to $0.27. Over the last 12 months capital returned equaled 72% of free cash flow, compared with 93%–108% in each of the five prior years. The gap is concentrated in Q1 and Q2; in Q3 capital returned was back to 91% of that quarter's free cash flow. The diluted share count is down 12.7% since fiscal 2021.
Three balance-sheet changes the filing does not fully explain:
Apple reports five geographic segments. R&D and general and administrative expenses are not allocated to segments, so segment margins are higher than the company margin.
| Q3, $ millions | Revenue FY25 | Revenue FY26 | Change | Segment margin FY25 | Segment margin FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Americas | 41,198 | 45,781 | +11.1% | 40.1% | 47.4% |
| Europe | 24,014 | 29,395 | +22.4% | 43.7% | 45.7% |
| Greater China | 15,369 | 18,816 | +22.4% | 37.9% | 39.4% |
| Japan | 5,782 | 6,554 | +13.4% | 49.7% | 45.8% |
| Rest of Asia Pacific | 7,673 | 8,871 | +15.6% | 42.3% | 47.1% |
Americas: segment margin rose 7.3 points, far more than the other segments, even though growth there was the slowest. The tariff refunds were recorded in products cost of sales, and the filing does not show how they were split between segments. If the entire refund was recorded in the Americas, the segment margin without it would have been about 43.1% — still up about 3 points.
Greater China: growth was 37.9%, 28.1% and 22.4% in the three quarters of the year, after a decline in fiscal 2025. Per the filing, growth came mainly from iPhone, and a stronger renminbi contributed. Japan: a weaker yen weighed on revenue and margin.
The differentiation the company presents is the integration of hardware, software, chips and services into one system. Apple's six operating systems run only on its own devices, and the services are built on the installed base of active devices. As the base grows, so does the audience for the App Store, advertising and cloud. Services revenue grew from $85.2 billion in fiscal 2023 to $109.2 billion in fiscal 2025, and services gross margin rose from 70.8% to 75.4%.
Where the filings show pressure: the services layer is also where the legal proceedings concentrate. A U.S. court order in the Epic Games case bars Apple from charging a commission on purchases users make outside an app; the appeals court allowed "some commission", and in June 2026 the Supreme Court agreed to review part of the matter. In the EU, the Digital Markets Act (DMA) has already led to a €500 million fine, and a further investigation could end in a fine of up to 10% of worldwide revenue. In addition, the arrangement under which Google pays Apple for search distribution is under appeal in the antitrust case against Google. The amount of those payments is not disclosed in Apple's filings.
Apple notes in its filing that it holds a minority market share in smartphones, personal computers and tablets. This review does not include competitor data from primary sources.
At Apple, the central question is not the quality of the business but which year represents it. A 27.6% net margin, $136.7 billion of annual free cash flow and services margins of about 76% are relatively stable figures over the years. What changes is the growth rate: 3.3% on average in 2021–2025, and 16% in fiscal 2026. Measuring the company on the current year and measuring it over a full cycle give two different pictures of the same business.
An iPhone cycle is both a data point and a comparison base. Three consecutive quarters of 22%–23% iPhone growth, together with a recovery in Greater China, fit the pattern of a strong replacement cycle. The company does not disclose units or average prices, so more devices cannot be separated from more expensive devices. What the filing does say: "primarily Pro models". Growth in China slowed from quarter to quarter, from 37.9% to 22.4%.
Normalize before comparing. Q3 included one-time tariff refunds. In cash flow, last year's tax payment to Ireland and this year's final repatriation-tax installment distort the comparison: operating cash flow rose 43% over nine months, but before cash taxes the increase is 20.5%. The gap between the reported and normalized figures is a large part of the analysis.
Margins: what happened and what management describes. Excluding the tariff refunds, gross margin rose about 1.8 points year over year. In the same filing management writes that it is experiencing component shortages and rising costs — advanced semiconductors, memory and storage — and that, in its own assessment, these trends will intensify. In its words, gross margins "will be subject to volatility and downward pressure". Inventory and purchase obligations rose sharply in Q3. The filing does not quantify how much of the quarter's cost of sales relied on components bought before prices rose.
Services carry a large share of profit, and most of the legal questions. 42% of gross profit in the quarter came from services. Services growth was 13.9%, 16.3% and 12.1% in the three quarters. In Q1 and Q2 the filing listed the App Store among the growth drivers; in Q3 it listed only advertising and cloud services. The App Store commission cases, European regulation and the proceedings around Google's payments all touch this layer.
Artificial intelligence: the spending is visible, the revenue not yet. R&D rose by about a third in three consecutive quarters. Capital expenditure actually fell 28% over nine months, and the company notes it also relies on third-party cloud providers for computing capacity. Siri AI was introduced at WWDC in June 2026. Per the filing, DMA requirements may cause features such as Siri AI not to launch in the EU.
The cash pile is growing. For years Apple returned all of its free cash flow and more to shareholders, reducing net cash. Over the last nine months net cash grew by $28.4 billion. In Q1 and Q2, 56% and 60% of free cash flow was returned, and in Q3 — 91%. In the same period intangible assets rose by about $12 billion net, without the filings identifying the source.
The historical multiple versus today's. Apple's price-to-earnings ratio at fiscal year-ends 2021–2025 ranged from 24 to 34 (excluding the 2024 Ireland tax charge). On Oct 5, 2026 it stood at about 38, based on trailing 12-month earnings — a period that includes the three strong growth quarters of this year. Free cash flow yield on market capitalization was 2.8%. These figures describe the starting point; they do not determine the direction.
New management, same company. The new CEO comes from inside the company, after 25 years there, and the transition is gradual with an executive chair. His annual equity award is mostly tied to the stock's total return relative to the S&P 500. The filings do not yet include a written strategic statement from him.
This framework is intended to structure analysis, not to produce an investment conclusion. It does not take part in the decision — the decision is the reader's.
| # | Item | Latest reading |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gross margin, separately from any further tariff refunds | 50.1% reported, ~48.3% excluding refunds |
| 2 | Services growth and the drivers the filing names | +12.1%; advertising and cloud |
| 3 | iPhone and the full fiscal year | +21.7% in Q3 |
| 4 | Greater China | +22.4% (from +37.9% in Q1) |
| 5 | R&D as % of revenue | 10.7% |
| 6 | Inventory and manufacturing purchase obligations | $11.1B and $57.0B |
| 7 | Capital return and net cash | 72% of FCF over 12 months; $62.2B |
| 8 | Disclosure on intangible assets in the annual report | $25.4B net |
| 9 | Epic, DMA and Google proceedings | Open |
The scenarios below are descriptive, not predictive. They contain no prices, no probabilities, and do not rank outcomes. Their only purpose is to organize the conditions that would need to hold for each state to materialize, so they can be checked against future filings.
Scenarios are descriptive, not predictive.
The following six questions are identical in every company review we publish. They are deliberately open and do not lead to a single conclusion. Their role is to let the reader examine the company on the same six dimensions as every other company.
1. In the April–June 2026 quarter Apple reported revenue of $109.4 billion (+16.4%) and diluted EPS of $2.02 (+28.7%). According to the earnings release, tariff refunds added $0.11 to EPS and about 2 points to gross margin. Excluding them, EPS was $1.91 (+21.7%).
2. In the three quarters of fiscal 2026 revenue grew 15.7%, 16.6% and 16.4%, compared with average growth of 3.3% a year in fiscal 2021–2025. Services growth in Q3 was 12.1%, vs 16.3% in Q2.
3. Over the last 12 months free cash flow was $136.7 billion and capital returned to shareholders $97.9 billion (72%). Net cash rose from $33.8 to $62.2 billion in nine months.
4. Component inventory rose from $2.1 to $7.6 billion, and intangible assets from $13.3 to $25.4 billion net. In the filing management writes that it is experiencing component shortages and rising costs, and in its own assessment these trends will intensify. John Ternus became CEO on September 1, 2026.
Bakshi Finance operates as a Family Office for qualified clients only. Mr. Yaron Bakshi held an investment advisory license from 2008 to 2023. As of the publication date of this document, the company does not hold an investment advisory, investment marketing, or portfolio management license.
This document is intended for research and professional education purposes only. Nothing herein constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, hold, or take any action in securities. It is not a substitute for advice that takes into account each person's individual data and needs. Any decision is the sole responsibility of the investor.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Data was drawn from official sources: the Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 27, 2026 (filed July 31, 2026), the Form 10-Qs for Q1 and Q2 of fiscal 2026, the Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 (October 31, 2025), the quarterly earnings releases, and the company's Form 8-K filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Historical multiples: stockanalysis.com. Filing updates published after this date are not included.
The full analytical review of Apple (AAPL) for the quarter ended June 2026 is available to Bakshi Finance premium clients.
The review includes a 10-section analysis, "How to Think About This Company", a structured scenario framework, and a 6-dimension Analytical Lens.