Bakshi Finance

Constellation Energy Corporation

Utilities · Baltimore, Maryland · NASDAQ

CEG
Value | Tactical NASDAQ Research Depth · Standard

Company Description

Constellation Energy (CEG) is the largest non-regulated electricity company in the United States, with a nuclear fleet of 21 reactors (~22 GW). According to company guidance, AI data center electricity demand provides a premium tailwind, and a Microsoft direct PPA was signed in 2024. The Three Mile Island restart for Q3 2028 has been announced. [source: CEG 10-K FY2025]
Sector · Sub-sectorUtilities · Independent Power Producers
[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032]
HeadquartersBaltimore, Maryland
[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032]
Founded2022 (spin-off from Exelon)
[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032]
CEOMr. Joseph Dominguez
[CEG DEF 14A filed 2026-03-19 · accession 0001552781-26-000140]
ChairmanN/A
[CEG DEF 14A filed 2026-03-19 · accession 0001552781-26-000140]
Employees~15,291
[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032]
Market Cap$107.3B
[snapshot 2026-04-17]
Revenue FY2025$25.5B
[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032]
Net Income$2.3B
[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032]
Shares Outstanding362M
[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032]
Market Cap
$107.3B
362M | P/E 39.97
[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032] · [yfinance snapshot 2026-04-17]
Revenue FY2025
$25.5B
+8.3% Y/Y
[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032]
Net Income
$2.3B
EPS $7.40 | -38.1% Y/Y
[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032]
Gross Margin
18.4%
Op Margin 16.4%
[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032]
FCF
$1.3B
FCF Yield (snapshot) 1.2%
[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032] · snapshot 2026-04-17
Net Debt
$5.4B Net Debt
Debt $9B | Cash $4B
[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032]
Closing Price
$296.21
As of 2026-04-17
[yfinance snapshot 2026-04-17]
1

Financial Performance — 5 Years

Revenue ($M)
Last 5 fiscal years
Operating Income & Margin
Multi-year trend
EBITDA & Free Cash Flow
5-year trend
Revenue Breakdown
Most recent fiscal year
Profit Margins — 5 Years
Gross / Operating / Net Margin %
Capital Structure
Cash, Debt, Net Debt | 5 years
2

Financial Statements

ItemFY-4FY-3FY-2FY-1FY (Latest)Source
Revenue$0.0M$24.4B$24.9B$23.6B$25.5B[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032]
Gross Profit$0.0M$2.1B$3.2B$6.0B$4.7B[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032]
Operating Income$0.0M$-408.0M$2.4B$4.8B$4.2B[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032]
Operating Margin %0.0%-1.7%9.6%20.6%16.4%[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032]
EBITDA$0.0M$1.6B$4.4B$6.9B$6.3B[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032]
Net Income$0.0M$-160.0M$1.6B$3.7B$2.3B[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032]
EPS ($)$0.00$-0.49$5.01$11.89$7.40[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032]
FCF$0.0M$-4.0B$-7.7B$-5.0B$1.3B[CEG 10-K filed 2026-02-24 · accession 0001868275-26-000032]
3

Economic Moat

Moat Sources
[source: CEG 10-K FY2025 Item 1] Largest nuclear fleet US (22 GW)★★★★☆
[source: CEG 10-K FY2025] Microsoft PPA 2024 direct hyperscaler deal★★★★☆
[source: CEG 10-K FY2025] Three Mile Island restart planned 2028★★★★☆
[source: CEG 10-K FY2025] Carbon-free generation premium pricing★★★★☆
[source: CEG 10-K FY2025] AI data center tailwind thesis★★★★☆
4

Valuation Multiples

MultipleCompanyOwn 5Y AverageGap vs 5Y Average
P/E (TTM) [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]40.0x30.0x (4Y)+33.4%
P/E (Fwd) [yfinance forward consensus]21.6xN/AN/A
EV/EBITDA [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]20.1x15.3x (4Y)+32.0%
P/S [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]4.2x2.5x (4Y)+69.4%
P/B [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]6.4x4.7x (4Y)+35.0%
Div Yield [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]58.00%0.68% (4Y)+57.32pp
FCF Yield (snapshot) [computed · 2026-04-18]1.20%-10.30% (4Y)-111.7%
5Y statistical averages computed from yfinance annual data (annual income_stmt × balance_sheet × cash_flow + price snapshots at FY-end). Source: lib/compute_5y_multiples.py · Refresh: 2026-04-18
5

How to Think About This Company

A full How to Think About This Company analysis for CEG — covering essence, key variables, potential analytical pitfalls, and what distinguishes professional thinking from noise — is available within the Family Office content set.

The difference between surface-level analysis and professional thinking often lies in the variables that are not immediately visible.

7

Risks & Items Under Watch

Key Risks
[WARN][source: CEG 10-K FY2025 Item 1A] Nuclear regulatory risk (NRC)
[WARN][source: CEG 10-K FY2025] Power price volatility
[WARN][source: CEG 10-K FY2025] Vistra/NRG competition
[WARN][source: CEG 10-K FY2025] Plant aging + reliability
[WARN][source: CEG 10-K FY2025] AI demand timing
[WARN][source: CEG 10-K FY2025] Limited history post-spinoff 2022
Items Under Watch
[Strength] Largest nuclear fleet US (22 GW)
[Strength] Microsoft PPA 2024 direct hyperscaler deal
[Strength] Three Mile Island restart planned 2028
[Strength] Carbon-free generation premium pricing
[Strength] AI data center tailwind thesis
[Bull conditions] AI data centers scale + TMI restarts + additional hyperscaler PPAs
8

Scenario Framework

The framework below describes what conditions need to occur in each scenario — not a price forecast.

Scenarios are descriptive, not predictive. They outline possible conditions, not expected outcomes. These scenarios contain no probability assessment, no preferred direction, and no expectation as to which will materialize.

Bull Case
[Scenario — internal Bakshi Finance assumption] Upside scenario [source: Bakshi scenario model V2.7]
Base Case
[Scenario — internal Bakshi Finance assumption] Reference case [source: Bakshi scenario model V2.7]
Bear Case
[Scenario — internal Bakshi Finance assumption] Downside scenario [source: Bakshi scenario model V2.7]
The framework describes conditions, not forecasts. It contains no preferred direction, no probability assessment, and no price targets.
10

Analytical Lens — The Questions We Ask

In professional company analysis, the question is not "Is this good?" but rather "From which angles must we examine the company so as not to miss the essence?" Every analysis at Bakshi Finance passes through six lenses. The text below is not an evaluation — it is a mapping of the questions this analysis is meant to answer.

The analysis is based on an internal multi-factor analytical framework used in professional portfolio management. The framework maps the questions; the answers appear woven through the analysis above.

What the lens is not: there is no rating, no score, no comparison between this company and another, and no preference. The same six questions are asked of every company on the site — what differs is the answers, not the tool.

This framework is intended to structure analysis, not to produce an investment conclusion.

📈
Growth
How does the company grow? Is growth driven by volume, price, or mix? Is it stable across cycles?
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Profitability
How do margins behave over time? How much accounting profit converts into actual free cash flow?
Leverage
What is the capital structure? How flexibly can the company handle a downturn or higher financing costs?
Competitive Position
What protects revenues from erosion? How long is this protection likely to hold?
Management Quality
How does management allocate capital? What is its track record on strategic decisions?
Business Complexity / Risk
Where would simplistic analysis go wrong? What is exposed to regulation, cyclicality, or technological change?

Key Observations

This summary is not a recommendation. It is a factual list of what the analysis identified. The decision — rests with the client.

Disclosure — Family Office Format

Bakshi Finance operates as a Family Office serving qualified clients only. Mr. Yaron Bakshi was a licensed investment advisor between 2008 and 2023. As of the publication date of this document, the company does not hold a license for investment advisory, investment marketing, or portfolio management.

This document is intended for research and professional educational purposes only. Nothing herein constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, hold, or take any action with respect to any securities. Nothing herein is a substitute for advice that takes into account the data and needs of any particular individual. Every decision — rests solely with the investor.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.