Bakshi Finance

Cisco Systems, Inc.

Technology · San Jose, California · NASDAQ

CSCO
Value | Core/Tactical NASDAQ Research Depth · Standard

🏢 Company Description

Cisco Systems (CSCO) is the world's largest manufacturer of equipment for enterprise communications and internet infrastructure — routers, switches, firewalls, collaboration (Webex), and SaaS security. In FY2025 (ended July 2025) it acquired Splunk ($28B, closed March 2024) and reached recurring software revenue of ~50%. Cisco competes with Arista, Palo Alto Networks, and Microsoft. Core thesis: moat from enterprise installed base + AI ethernet wave + Dividend Aristocrat-like (15+ years of dividend growth). [source: CSCO 10-K FY2025]
Sector · Sub-sectorTechnology · Communication Equipment
[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111]
HeadquartersSan Jose, California
[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111]
Founded1984
[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111]
CEOMr. Charles H. Robbins
[CSCO DEF 14A filed 2025-10-28 · accession 0000858877-25-000150]
ChairmanN/A
[CSCO DEF 14A filed 2025-10-28 · accession 0000858877-25-000150]
Employees~86,200
[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111]
Market Cap$340.7B
[snapshot 2026-04-17]
Revenue FY2025$56.7B
[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111]
Net Income$10.2B
[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111]
Shares Outstanding3,950M
[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111]
Market Cap
$340.7B
3,950M | P/E 31.03
[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111] · [yfinance snapshot 2026-04-17]
Revenue FY2025
$56.7B
+5.3% Y/Y
[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111]
Net Income
$10.2B
EPS $2.61 | -1.4% Y/Y
[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111]
Gross Margin
64.9%
Op Margin 22.1%
[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111]
FCF
$13.3B
FCF Yield (snapshot) 3.9%
[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111] · snapshot 2026-04-17
Net Debt
$12.0B Net Debt
Debt $28B | Cash $16B
[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111]
Closing Price
$86.25
As of 2026-04-17
[yfinance snapshot 2026-04-17]
1

Financial Performance — 5 Years

Revenue ($M)
Last 5 fiscal years
Operating Income & Margin
Multi-year trend
EBITDA & Free Cash Flow
5-year trend
Revenue Breakdown
Latest fiscal year
Profitability Margins — 5 Years
Gross / Operating / Net Margin %
Capital Structure
Cash, Debt, Net Debt | 5 years
2

Financial Statements

ItemFY-4FY-3FY-2FY-1FY (latest)Source
Revenue$51.6B$57.0B$53.8B$56.7B[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111]
Gross Profit$32.2B$35.8B$34.8B$36.8B[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111]
Operating Income$14.0B$15.6B$13.0B$12.5B[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111]
Operating Margin %27.1%27.3%24.1%22.1%[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111]
EBITDA$16.3B$18.2B$16.7B$16.2B[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111]
Net Income$11.8B$12.6B$10.3B$10.2B[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111]
EPS ($)$2.82$3.07$2.54$2.61[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111]
FCF$12.7B$19.0B$10.2B$13.3B[CSCO 10-K filed 2025-09-03 · accession 0000858877-25-000111]
3

Economic Moat

🏰 Moat Sources
[source: CSCO 10-K FY2025 Item 1] Installed base of millions of enterprise network devices★★★★☆
[source: CSCO 10-K FY2025 Item 1] Recurring software + services = ~50% revenue post-Splunk★★★★☆
[source: CSCO 10-K FY2025] Splunk $28B acquisition expanded security/observability★★★★☆
[source: Dell'Oro Group market share reports] Leadership in Ethernet switching + SD-WAN★★★★☆
[source: CSCO 10-K FY2025 dividend history] 15+ years of dividend growth★★★★☆
4

Valuation Multiples

MultipleCompany5Y Self-AverageGap vs. 5Y Average
P/E (TTM) [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]31.0x19.6x (4Y)+58.7%
P/E (Fwd) [yfinance forward consensus]19.1xN/AN/A
EV/EBITDA [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]21.9x12.8x (4Y)+70.6%
P/S [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]5.8x3.9x (4Y)+47.2%
P/B [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]7.1x4.9x (4Y)+46.6%
Div Yield [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]1.95%3.00% (4Y)-1.05pp
FCF Yield (snapshot) [computed · 2026-04-18]3.90%6.51% (4Y)-40.1%
The 5Y statistical averages are computed from yfinance annual data (annual income_stmt × balance_sheet × cash_flow + price snapshots at FY-end). Source: lib/compute_5y_multiples.py · Refresh: 2026-04-18
5

How to Think About This Company

A full How to Think About This Company analysis for CSCO — including examination of the essence, the key variables, potential analytical pitfalls, and what distinguishes professional thinking from noise — is available within the Family Office content.

The difference between surface-level analysis and professional thinking often lies in the variables that are not immediately visible.

7

Risks & Items Under Watch

⚠️ Key Risks
[WARN][source: CSCO 10-K FY2025 Item 1A] AI ethernet competition from Arista/NVIDIA
[WARN][source: CSCO 10-K FY2025] Splunk integration execution risk
[WARN][source: CSCO 10-K FY2025 Item 1A] Enterprise networking refresh cycle timing
[WARN][source: CSCO 10-K FY2025] Cybersecurity competition (PANW, CRWD, ZS)
[WARN][source: CSCO 10-K FY2025] China geopolitical exposure
[WARN][source: CSCO 10-K FY2025] FX exposure (45% international revenue)
📋 Items Under Watch
📈[Strength] Installed base of millions of enterprise network devices
📈[Strength] Recurring software + services = ~50% revenue post-Splunk
📈[Strength] Splunk $28B acquisition expanded security/observability
📈[Strength] Leadership in Ethernet switching + SD-WAN
📈[Strength] 15+ years of dividend growth
📈[Bull-case condition] AI ethernet wave accelerates + Splunk synergies + enterprise refresh cycle reactivates
8

Scenario Framework

The framework below describes which conditions need to hold in each scenario — not a price forecast.

Scenarios are descriptive, not predictive. They outline possible conditions, not expected outcomes. There is no probability assigned to these scenarios, no preferred direction, and no expectation as to which will materialize.

🐂 Bull Case
[Scenario — internal Bakshi Finance assumption] Conditions: AI ethernet adoption accelerates, Splunk integration delivers cross-sell synergies, enterprise refresh cycle reactivates [source: Bakshi scenario framework V2.7]
📊 Base Case
[Scenario — internal Bakshi Finance assumption] Conditions: revenue grows in mid-single digits, margins stabilize at current levels, capital return continues [source: Bakshi scenario framework V2.7]
🐻 Bear Case
[Scenario — internal Bakshi Finance assumption] Conditions: hyperscaler ethernet share loss to Arista/NVIDIA, Splunk integration disappoints, enterprise capex contracts [source: Bakshi scenario framework V2.7]
The framework describes conditions, not forecasts. There is no preferred direction, no probability estimate, and no price targets in this framework.
10

Analytical Lens — The Questions We Ask

In professional company analysis, the question is not "is this good", but rather "from which angles must the company be examined to avoid missing the essentials". Every analysis at Bakshi Finance passes through six lenses. The text below is not an evaluation — it is the mapping of the questions this analysis is meant to answer.

The analysis is based on an internal multi-factor analytical framework used in professional portfolio management. The framework maps the questions; the answers appear woven through the analysis above.

What the lens is not: there is no rating, no score, no comparison between this company and another, and no preference. The same six questions are asked of every company on the site — the variation is in the answers, not in the tool.

This framework is intended to structure analysis, not to produce an investment conclusion.

📈
Growth
How does the company grow? Does growth come from volume, price, or mix? Is it stable across cycles?
💰
Profitability
How do margins behave over time? How much accounting profit actually converts into free cash flow?
⚖️
Leverage
What is the capital structure? With what flexibility will the company handle a down cycle or higher financing costs?
🏰
Competitive Position
What protects its revenues from erosion? How long is that protection likely to hold?
👔
Management Quality
How does management allocate capital? What is its track record on strategic decisions?
🧩
Business Complexity / Risk
Where would simplistic analysis go wrong? What is exposed to regulation, cyclicality, or technological shifts?

Key Observations

This summary is not a recommendation. It is a factual list of what the analysis identified. The decision — belongs to the client.

Disclosure — Family Office Format

Bakshi Finance operates in a Family Office format for qualified clients only. Mr. Yaron Bakshi held a licensed investment advisory authorization from 2008 to 2023. As of the publication date of this document, the company does not hold a license for investment advice, investment marketing, or portfolio management.

This document is intended for research and professional educational purposes only. Nothing herein constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, hold, or take any action with respect to any security. Nothing herein is a substitute for personalized advice that takes into account the data and needs of any individual person. Any decision is the sole responsibility of the investor.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.