Bakshi Finance

Netflix, Inc. — NFLX

Communication Services · Los Gatos, California · NASDAQ

NFLX
Growth | Core/Tactical NASDAQ Research Depth · Standard

Company Description

Netflix, Inc. is the largest SVOD (Subscription Video-on-Demand) service in the world, led by founder Reed Hastings (Executive Chairman) and two co-CEOs (Sarandos + Peters). For FY2025 the company reported revenue of $45.2B (+15.9% Y/Y) with 325M paid subscribers across 190+ countries — a historic milestone. Revenue mix: Subscription (96.7% — $43.7B, +13% Y/Y) and Advertising (3.3% — $1.5B, +150% Y/Y — the new growth path). Operating margin moved from 17% (FY22) to 29.5% (FY25) — one of the more notable transformations among mega-caps, with FY26 management guidance of 31.5% and FCF of $11B. Netflix invests $17B+/year in original content, runs an active password-sharing crackdown, and is expanding into live sports (WWE $5B/10-year, NFL games, Paul-Tyson) and gaming. Asset-light model with CapEx of only ~$500M/year and ROIC moving from 18% to 35% over 3 years.
Sector · Sub-sectorCommunication Services · Entertainment
[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034]
HeadquartersLos Gatos, California
[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034]
Founded1997
[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034]
CEOTed Sarandos + Greg Peters (co-CEOs)
[NFLX DEF 14A filed 2026-04-16 · accession 0001193125-26-159286]
ChairmanReed Hastings (co-Founder, Executive Chairman)
[NFLX DEF 14A filed 2026-04-16 · accession 0001193125-26-159286]
Employees~14,000
[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034]
Market Cap$412.8B
[snapshot 2026-04-17]
FY25 Revenue$45.2B
[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034]
Net Income$13.2B
[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034]
Shares Outstanding4,222M
[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034]
Market Cap
$412.8B
4,222M | P/E 38.46
[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034] · [yfinance snapshot 2026-04-17]
FY25 Revenue
$45.2B
+15.9% Y/Y
[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034]
Net Income
$13.2B
EPS $2.53 | +50.9% Y/Y
[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034]
Gross Margin
47.1%
Op Margin 29.5%
[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034]
FCF
$11.0B
FCF Yield (snapshot) 2.66%
[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034] · snapshot 2026-04-17
Net Debt
$3.5B Net Debt
Debt $14B | Cash $10B
[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034]
Closing Price
$97.31
As of 2026-04-17
[yfinance snapshot 2026-04-17]
1

Financial Performance — 5 Years

Revenue ($M)
Last 5 fiscal years
Operating Income & Operating Margin
Multi-year trend
EBITDA & Free Cash Flow
5-year trend
Revenue Mix
Latest fiscal year
Profitability Margins — 5 Years
Gross / Operating / Net Margin %
Capital Structure
Cash, Debt, Net Debt | 5 years
2

Financial Statements

ItemFY-4FY-3FY-2FY-1FY (latest)Source
Revenue$29.7B$31.6B$33.7B$39.0B$45.2B[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034]
Gross Profit$12.4B$13.2B$13.8B$17.8B$21.3B[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034]
Operating Income$6.2B$5.6B$7.0B$10.4B$13.3B[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034]
Operating Margin %20.9%17.8%20.6%26.7%29.5%[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034]
EBITDA$6.5B$6.1B$7.6B$11.3B$14.2B[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034]
Net Income$5.1B$4.5B$5.4B$8.7B$13.2B[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034]
EPS ($)$1.12$0.99$1.20$1.98$2.53[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034]
FCF$-133M$1.6B$6.9B$6.9B$11.0B[NFLX 10-K filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0001065280-26-000034]
3

Economic Moat

Moat Sources
325M paid subscribers — largest SVOD globally★★★★☆
Content library + originals — $17B+ annual content spend★★★★☆
Personalization algorithm — 20+ years of viewing data★★★★☆
Global reach 190+ countries — operational moat★★★★☆
Password sharing crackdown + Ads tier — new monetization layers★★★★☆
4

Valuation Multiples

MultipleCompany5Y Self-AverageSpread vs. 5Y Average
P/E (TTM) [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]38.5x38.0x (5Y)+1.1%
P/E (Fwd) [yfinance forward consensus]25.1xN/AN/A
EV/EBITDA [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]33.9x11.2x (5Y)+201.3%
P/S [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]9.1x7.2x (5Y)+26.4%
P/B [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]15.4x11.7x (5Y)+31.9%
Div Yield [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]0.00%0.00% (5Y)
FCF Yield (snapshot) [computed · 2026-04-18]2.66%2.18% (5Y)+22.0%
5Y statistical averages computed from yfinance annual data (income_stmt × balance_sheet × cash_flow + price snapshots at FY-end). Source: lib/compute_5y_multiples.py · Refresh: 2026-04-18
5

How to Think About This Company

A full How to Think About This Company analysis for NFLX — covering the essence, the key variables, potential analytical pitfalls, and what separates professional thinking from noise — is available within the Family Office content library.

The difference between surface-level analysis and professional thinking often lies in the variables that are not immediately visible.

7

Risks & Items Under Watch

Key Risks
[WATCH]Content costs escalating (sports: NFL, WWE deals)
[WATCH]Competition: Disney+, HBO Max (Warner), Amazon Prime Video, Apple TV+
[WATCH]Subscriber saturation in North America; growth from International + Ads tier
[WATCH]Password sharing crackdown benefits already realized 2024-2025
[WATCH]Beta 1.67 — high volatility, 52W range $75-$134
[WATCH]Content impairment risk — if shows/films flop
Items Under Watch
[Strength] [Fact] 325M paid subscribers — largest SVOD globally
[Strength] [Estimate] Content library + originals — $17B+ annual content spend
[Strength] [Estimate] Personalization algorithm — 20+ years of viewing data
[Strength] [Estimate] Global reach 190+ countries — operational moat
[Strength] [Fact] Password sharing crackdown + Ads tier — new monetization layers
8

Scenario Framework

The framework below describes which conditions need to hold in each scenario — it is not a price forecast.

Scenarios are descriptive, not predictive. They outline possible conditions, not expected outcomes. These scenarios contain no probability assessment, no preferred direction, and no expectation of which one may unfold.

Bull Case
[Scenario — internal Bakshi Finance assumption] If Ads tier reaches $3B in FY26 and doubles to $6B in FY27, NFL launch performs in line with management guidance, and operating margin reaches 32%. [source: Bakshi scenario model V2.7]
Base Case
[Scenario — internal Bakshi Finance assumption] If subscribers grow ~+10M/yr, advertising revenue grows ~+50% annually, operating margin holds near 30%, and FCF tracks toward $12B. [source: Bakshi scenario model V2.7]
Bear Case
[Scenario — internal Bakshi Finance assumption] If content cost escalation continues (NFL ~$5B), Disney/HBO consolidation pressures pricing, and subscriber churn rises. [source: Bakshi scenario model V2.7]
The framework describes conditions, not forecasts. There is no preferred direction, no probability assessment, and no price targets.
10

Analytical Lens — The Questions We Ask

In a professional company analysis, the question is not "is this good", but "from which angles must the company be examined so that the essential is not missed". Every Bakshi Finance analysis passes through six lenses. The text below is not an evaluation — it is the map of the questions this analysis is intended to address.

The analysis is based on an internal multi-factor analytical framework used in professional portfolio management. The framework maps the questions; the answers appear woven through the analysis above.

What the lens is not: there is no rating here, no score, no comparison between this company and another, and no preference. The same six questions are asked of every company on the site — the variation is in the answers, not in the tool.

This framework is intended to structure analysis, not to produce an investment conclusion.

Growth
How does the company grow? Does growth come from volume, price, or mix? Is it stable across cycles?
Profitability
How do margins behave over time? How much of accounting profit converts to actual free cash flow?
Leverage
What is the capital structure? With what flexibility can the company face a downturn or higher financing costs?
Competitive Position
What protects revenues from erosion? How long is that protection likely to hold?
Management Quality
How does management allocate capital? What is its track record on strategic decisions?
Business Complexity / Risk
Where would a simplistic analysis get it wrong? What is exposed to regulation, cyclicality, or technological change?

Key Observations

This summary is not a recommendation. It is a factual list of what the analysis identified. The decision — rests with the client.

Disclosure — Family Office Format

Bakshi Finance operates as a Family Office serving qualified investors only. Mr. Yaron Bakshi was a licensed investment advisor in Israel from 2008 to 2023. As of the publication date of this document, the firm does not hold a license for investment advisory, investment marketing, or portfolio management.

This document is intended for research and professional learning purposes only. Nothing herein constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, hold, or take any action with respect to any security. Nothing herein substitutes for advice that takes into account the specific data and needs of any individual. Any decision — rests solely with the investor.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.