Analytical Review · Second Quarter Fiscal 2027 (quarter ended 26 July 2026)
Bakshi Finance — Family Office | Research Depth: Comprehensive
What this review rests on. NVIDIA Corporation's Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 26 July 2026, filed with the SEC on 26 August 2026 (accession 0001045810-26-000075); the Form 8-K and Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 dated 26 August 2026; and the Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended 25 January 2026. Every figure on this page is drawn from one of those documents. Where a figure has been calculated by us, that is stated explicitly. Market data is as of the close of trading on 28 August 2026.
NVIDIA Corporation designs graphics processors, networking processors and complete systems for accelerated computing infrastructure, and supplies the software layer that runs them. The company trades on Nasdaq under SEC registration 0001045810, and its fiscal year ends in late January.
Operations are reported in two segments: Compute & Networking, which was 91.8% of quarterly revenue, and Graphics. Cut by market platform, Data Center was $89,023M — 92.5% of total revenue for the quarter.
The products named in the filing are the Blackwell Ultra architecture, which management describes as "the vast majority of our revenue", and the Vera Rubin platform, which management describes as being in "full production" with racks running at CoreWeave, Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure and Nebius. Alongside them the filing names Spectrum-6 switch systems, the NVIDIA Vera CPU, the Groq 3 LPX inference accelerator, and the DSX platform.
The filing divides customers into direct customers — add-in board makers, distributors, ODMs, OEMs, cloud service providers, AI model makers and system integrators — and indirect customers who purchase through them. In the second quarter of fiscal 2027, one direct customer was 16% of revenue; for the half, three customers were 16%, 15% and 13%.
Revenue for the quarter was $96,221M, against $46,743M in the prior-year quarter — up 105.9% — and against $81,615M in the prior quarter, up 17.9%.
| $ millions | Q2 FY2027 | Q1 FY2027 | Q2 FY2026 | H1 FY2027 | H1 FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 96,221 | 81,615 | 46,743 | 177,837 | 90,805 |
| Gross profit | 72,142 | 61,157 | 33,853 | 133,299 | 60,521 |
| Gross margin | 75.0% | 74.9% | 72.4% | 75.0% | 66.6% |
| Research and development | 7,054 | 6,321 | 4,291 | 13,375 | 8,280 |
| Total operating expenses | 8,408 | 7,621 | 5,413 | 16,029 | 10,443 |
| Operating income | 63,734 | 53,536 | 28,440 | 117,270 | 50,078 |
| Operating margin | 66.24% | 65.60% | 60.84% | 65.94% | 55.15% |
| Other income, net | 7,773 | 16,367 | 2,766 | 24,140 | 3,039 |
| Net income | 59,688 | 58,321 | 26,422 | 118,010 | 45,197 |
| Diluted earnings per share | $2.46 | $2.39 | $1.08 | $4.85 | $1.84 |
Two notes govern how this table should be read.
First — the comparison base. The prior-year half's gross margin of 66.6% is depressed by a one-time charge of $4.5 billion for H20 inventory and purchase obligations, recorded in the first quarter of fiscal 2026 following US export controls on China. The current quarter recorded a release of $180M from that same provision. Comparing 75.0% to 66.6% is not a comparison of two operating periods.
Second — GAAP net income exceeds non-GAAP net income. $59,688M against $53,954M. The relationship is normally the other way round. The difference is almost entirely mark-to-market gains on the equity investment portfolio: $7,771M in the quarter and $23,707M in the half, which is 16.76% of first-half pre-tax income. Management itself excludes this line from non-GAAP results.
The gap between earnings and cash is the most prominent figure in the filing. Net income for the quarter was $59,688M; cash from operating activities was $24,077M. A ratio of 40.3%, against 86.3% in the prior quarter and 94.7% in the prior-year half.
| $ millions | Q2 FY2027 | Q1 FY2027 | Q2 FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 59,688 | 58,321 | 26,422 |
| Operating cash flow | 24,077 | 50,344 | 15,365 |
| Cash flow as a share of net income | 40.3% | 86.3% | 58.2% |
| Free cash flow | 21,341 | 48,554 | 13,450 |
The source of the gap is working capital, which consumed $30,707M in a single quarter. The largest line is receivables: $22,346M.
"Accounts receivable was $63.1 billion with 60 days sales outstanding (DSO), up from 45 days sequentially, due to extended payment terms on large, multi-quarter agreements with certain investment-grade customers."
Note 7 to the quarterly filing quantifies the policy: for investment-grade customer purchases, the company has provided and may in future provide longer payment terms ranging from 90 days up to one year, to assist customers with large data centre builds.
| $ millions | 26 Jul 2026 | 25 Jan 2026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and marketable debt securities | 56,586 | 49,670 | +13.9% |
| Marketable equity securities | 42,783 | 12,886 | +232.0% |
| Non-marketable securities | 51,157 | 22,251 | +129.9% |
| Accounts receivable, net | 63,059 | 38,466 | +63.9% |
| Inventories | 31,575 | 21,403 | +47.5% |
| Total assets | 320,272 | 206,803 | +54.9% |
| Total debt | 33,366 | 8,468 | +294.0% |
| Shareholders' equity | 228,984 | 157,293 | +45.6% |
In June 2026 the company issued $25.0 billion of senior unsecured notes across seven tranches for general corporate purposes, while holding $56.6 billion in cash and marketable debt securities. The inventory mix shifted materially: raw materials rose from $3,807M to $11,341M, while finished goods fell from $8,774M to $6,857M.
| $ millions | Q2 FY2027 | Q1 FY2027 | Q2 FY2026 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data Center | 89,023 | 75,246 | 41,096 | +117% |
| — Hyperscale | 48,710 | 43,050 | 24,168 | +102% |
| — AI Clouds, Industrial & Enterprise | 40,313 | 32,196 | 16,928 | +138% |
| Edge Computing | 7,198 | 6,369 | 5,647 | +27% |
The fastest-growing category is not hyperscale but AI Clouds, Industrial & Enterprise — 138% year on year and 25% sequentially. Management attributes this to demand from AI natives, enterprises, sovereign customers, and hyperscalers using AI clouds.
Methodological note: during the second quarter a company was reclassified from AI Clouds, Industrial & Enterprise to Hyperscale, and the comparable prior-period revenue was recast.
| $ millions | Q2 FY2027 | Share | Q2 FY2026 | H1 FY2027 | H1 FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | 60,074 | 62.4% | 32,897 | 123,843 | 58,582 |
| Taiwan | 26,985 | 28.0% | 8,902 | 38,991 | 16,550 |
| China including Hong Kong | 7,880 | 8.2% | 3,985 | 12,430 | 13,644 |
| Other | 1,282 | 1.3% | 959 | 2,573 | 2,029 |
The split is determined by the direct customer's headquarters location, not by the end destination. Taiwan grew 3.03-fold in a year — this is the headquarters location of the ODMs, not an end market. China fell over the half from $13,644M to $12,430M, and management notes that shipments of Data Center Hopper products to China were less than 1% of Data Center revenue in the quarter.
| Period | Revenue concentration | Receivables concentration |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2027 | One direct customer — 16% | Five customers — 22%, 14%, 13%, 11%, 10% = 70% |
| H1 FY2027 | Three customers — 16%, 15%, 13% = 44% | |
| Q2 FY2026 | Two customers — 23%, 16% = 39% | — |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Full year: two — 22%, 14% = 36% | Three — 25%, 18%, 13% = 56% |
The two concentrations move in opposite directions. Revenue concentration fell from 39% across two customers to 16% for a single customer. Receivables concentration rose from 56% across three to 70% across five.
The filing supports the company's position on three measurable layers.
The first layer — share of a single end market. Data Center is 92.5% of quarterly revenue, and the Compute & Networking segment is 91.8%. That is a very high concentration in one market, which is simultaneously a strength and an exposure.
The second layer — research intensity. Research and development spending was $7,054M, or 7.33% of revenue, against 9.18% in the prior-year quarter. The absolute figure grew 64% year on year while revenue grew 106%. A low ratio of research spending to revenue, alongside a 66.24% operating margin, is generally a marker of a strong position — the company does not need to spend proportionally much to hold its place.
The third layer, and it is the new one — financing and guarantees. The filing describes a structure in which the company helps customers secure land, power and shell capacity for data centres. Management sets out the reasoning:
"AI clouds and model makers are seeing extraordinary demand for AI infrastructure, yet many are growing faster than their balance sheets and long-term credit profiles can support. In response, we have entered into arrangements that help select customers secure the land, power and data center capacity needed to support their growth."
Within that structure, agreements were signed under which the company earns revenue on the upfront sale of its infrastructure and, if certain criteria are met, also participates in revenue share generated by the AI clouds from their own third-party customers.
Alongside these, as of 26 July 2026 the company held $3.3 billion of investments in infrastructure financiers accounted for using the equity method. Those investments deemed to be variable interest entities carried a maximum loss exposure of $4.7 billion. The company determined it is not the primary beneficiary and therefore does not consolidate them.
A reader who looks only at the revenue line sees the strongest quarter in the history of the semiconductor industry. A reader who also opens the cash flow statement sees a second picture laid over the first: operating cash flow fell from $50,344M to $24,077M — down 52% — in the same quarter that revenue rose 17.9%. Both lines describe the same three months.
The explanation is not mysterious, and the company gives it itself: days sales outstanding rose from 45 to 60. In absolute terms, receivables grew from $38,466M to $63,059M. Put differently, nearly $24 billion of sales booked as revenue has not yet been collected in cash. Note 7 adds that terms can extend to a full year.
Here the distinction that matters enters. There are two possible readings of the same fact, and the filing does not settle between them. The first reading: a company whose demand exceeds supply chooses to use its strong balance sheet to accelerate the pace of customer deployment. That is a sound use of capital, and days outstanding will settle once the cycle matures. The second reading: customers could not have bought at this pace on ordinary terms, and the financing is part of the price of the sale. Under that reading, part of the growth was purchased rather than simply sold.
What makes the question material is that it does not stand alone. Over the same period, receivables concentration deepened — five customers are now 70% of the gross balance, against three at 56% at year end. The extended credit and the heavy concentration sit on the same names.
And the layer above them sits off the balance sheet. Supply and capacity commitments jumped from $119 billion to $279 billion in a single quarter, "primarily related to the procurement of memory" per management. Total future commitments are $366 billion, plus a further $56 billion of additional commitments. Above those sit guarantees with maximum gross exposure of $108.5 billion, of which $105 billion guarantees a single customer's 20-year lease obligations. The total, roughly $530 billion, is 2.32 times the company's shareholders' equity.
None of these figures indicates operating weakness. Gross margin expanded 2.6 points year on year. Operating margin is 66.24%. Stock-based compensation is only 2.11% of revenue — very low. The diluted share count fell 1.01% over the year. $45.3 billion was returned to shareholders in the half. These are the markers of a very strong company.
The inventory build, which looks worrying at first glance at +47.5%, also resolves in the company's favour once the mix is examined: raw materials nearly tripled while finished goods fell 21.8%. That is the signature of stocking ahead of a launch, not of goods that will not sell. Inventory provisions in fact halved year on year.
And in the same spirit of fairness, the concerns are not proven either. The filing does not disclose which holdings produced the $23.7 billion of mark-to-market gains in the half, and contains no related-party note — neither in the quarterly filing nor in the annual one. Whether the companies NVIDIA invests in are the same companies that buy from it cannot be tested from the filing. The absence of a related-party note, alongside the existence of equity-method holdings, is the best available evidence that the overlap sits below the materiality threshold — but it is not proof.
Finally, two details in the outlook that are easy to miss. The first: according to company guidance, gross margin next quarter will be 74.0% rather than 75.0% — a full point lower, which the release does not explain. The second: the outlook assumes no Data Center compute revenue from China at all. Anyone treating China as a risk should note that it has already been removed from the number.
The framework below describes conditions, not forecasts. It contains no prices, no probabilities, and no preference between the states. Its purpose is to identify which observable variables in future filings could move the company from one state to another.
Scenarios are descriptive, not predictive.
Six open questions, identical across every review. They have no single correct answer and they do not lead to a conclusion. Their purpose is to build the frame within which the reader forms their own view.
This framework is intended to structure analysis, not to produce an investment conclusion.
Bakshi Finance operates as a Family Office serving qualified clients only. Mr. Yaron Bakshi held a licensed investment advisory registration from 2008 to 2023. As of the date of this document, the firm does not hold an investment advisory, investment marketing, or portfolio management licence.
This document is prepared for research and professional study purposes only. Nothing herein constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, hold, or take any action in any security. Nothing herein substitutes for advice tailored to the circumstances and needs of any individual. Every decision rests with the investor alone.
All figures are drawn from official primary sources only: NVIDIA Corporation's Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 26 July 2026, filed with the SEC on 26 August 2026 (accession 0001045810-26-000075); the Form 8-K and Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 dated 26 August 2026; and the Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended 25 January 2026. Market data as of the close of trading on 28 August 2026. Subsequent filings may change the picture. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This site does not participate in the investment decision. The decision belongs to the client.