Bakshi Finance

Tesla, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Austin, Texas · NASDAQ

TSLA
NASDAQ Research Depth · Standard

Company Description

Tesla, Inc. is a manufacturer of electric vehicles (EVs), energy storage systems, and a developer of autonomy and robotics, led by founder Elon Musk. The company operates across 3 segments per FY2025 reporting: Automotive (73.3% of revenue — $69.5B, -6% Y/Y, first annual decline), Energy Storage (13.5% — $12.8B, +30% Y/Y, the growing engine), and Services & Other (13.2% — $12.5B, Supercharging + FSD subscriptions). Total FY25 revenue $94.83B (-2.9% Y/Y), with Operating Margin compressing from 16.8% (FY22) to 4.3% due to price wars and slowdown. Tesla trades at P/E 373 based on a narrative around Robotaxi, FSD L4/L5, and Optimus Humanoid Robot — none of which are in commercial operation today, while BYD overtook Tesla in global deliveries in 2024.
Sector · Sub-sectorConsumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952]
HeadquartersAustin, Texas
[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952]
Founded2003
[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952]
CEOElon Musk
[TSLA DEF 14A filed 2025-09-17 · accession 0001104659-25-090866]
ChairmanRobyn Denholm
[TSLA DEF 14A filed 2025-09-17 · accession 0001104659-25-090866]
Employees~140,000
[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952]
Market Cap$1.53T
[snapshot 2026-04-17]
Revenue FY25$94.8B
[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952]
Net Income$3.8B
[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952]
Shares Outstanding3,752M
[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952]
Market Cap
$1.53T
3,752M | P/E 373.35
[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952] · [yfinance snapshot 2026-04-17]
Revenue FY25
$94.8B
-2.9% Y/Y
[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952]
Net Income
$3.8B
EPS $1.08 | -47.2% Y/Y
[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952]
Gross Margin
17.1%
Op Margin 4.3%
[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952]
FCF
$0.5B
FCF Yield (snapshot) 0.03%
[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952] · snapshot 2026-04-17
Net Cash
$26.0B Net Cash
Debt $14B | Cash $40B
[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952]
Closing Price
$406.95
As of 2026-04-17
[yfinance snapshot 2026-04-17]
1

Financial Performance — 5 Years

Revenue ($M)
Last 5 fiscal years
Operating Income & Margin
Multi-year trend
EBITDA & Free Cash Flow
5-year trend
Revenue Breakdown
Latest fiscal year
Profitability Margins — 5 Years
Gross / Operating / Net Margin %
Capital Structure
Cash, Debt, Net Debt | 5 Years
2

Financial Statements

ItemFY-4FY-3FY-2FY-1FY (latest)Source
Revenue$53.8B$81.5B$96.8B$97.7B$94.8B[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952]
Gross Profit$13.6B$20.9B$17.7B$17.6B$16.2B[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952]
Operating Income$6.5B$13.7B$8.9B$7.1B$4.1B[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952]
Operating Margin %12.1%16.8%9.2%7.2%4.3%[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952]
EBITDA$9.6B$17.4B$15.3B$14.3B$11.1B[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952]
Net Income$5.5B$12.6B$15.0B$7.2B$3.8B[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952]
EPS ($)$1.59$3.62$4.30$2.04$1.08[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952]
FCF$5.0B$7.6B$4.4B$3.7B$500M[TSLA 10-K filed 2026-01-29 · accession 0001628280-26-003952]
3

Economic Moat

Moat Sources
Supercharger network — largest global fast-charging network, NACS standard adoption by Ford, GM, etc.★★★★☆
Brand — arguably strongest EV brand globally; Musk persona polarizing but attention-generating★★★★☆
Vertical integration — in-house batteries, motors, software, FSD chip design★★★★☆
FSD software — potential moat if Level 4/5 achieved; currently Level 2★★★★☆
Gigafactory scale — largest EV production capacity globally★★★★☆
4

Valuation Multiples

MultipleCompany5Y Self-AverageGap vs 5Y Avg
P/E (TTM) [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]373.4x176.5x (5Y)+111.5%
P/E (Fwd) [yfinance forward consensus]146.8xN/AN/A
EV/EBITDA [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]136.2x72.8x (5Y)+87.1%
P/S [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]16.1x11.0x (5Y)+46.2%
P/B [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]18.6x14.9x (5Y)+24.4%
Div Yield [yfinance snapshot · 5Y computed 2026-04-18]0.00%0.00% (5Y)
FCF Yield (snapshot) [computed · 2026-04-18]0.03%0.79% (5Y)-96.2%
5Y statistical averages computed from annual yfinance data (annual income_stmt × balance_sheet × cash_flow + price snapshots at FY-end). Source: lib/compute_5y_multiples.py · Refresh: 2026-04-18
5

How to Think About This Company

A full How to Think About This Company analysis for TSLA — covering the essence of the business, the key variables, potential analytical pitfalls, and what distinguishes professional thinking from noise — is available within the Family Office content.

The difference between surface-level analysis and professional thinking often lies in the variables that are not immediately visible.

7

Risks & Items Under Watch

Principal Risks
[WARN]Revenue DECLINED FY25 -3% vs FY24 — first annual decline
[WARN]Op Margin compressed from 16.8% FY22 to 4.3% FY25 — price wars
[WARN]Elon Musk split attention across X, xAI, Neuralink, SpaceX, Political (DOGE role 2025)
[WARN]FSD delays — full autonomy promised annually since 2014, still Level 2
[WARN]Competition — BYD passed Tesla in global EV deliveries 2024-2025
[WARN]EV tax credit ended under new administration (2025)
Items Under Watch
Robotaxi launch — functional H2 2026 (per company guidance)
Optimus commercial deliveries — 2027 (per company guidance)
Energy Storage trajectory toward $20B FY26
Model 2 launch at $25K (per company guidance)
China demand recovery
8

Scenario Framework

The framework below describes which conditions would need to hold in each scenario — not a price forecast.

Scenarios are descriptive, not predictive. They outline possible conditions, not expected outcomes. These scenarios contain no probability assessment, no preferred direction, and no expectation regarding which one will materialize.

Bull Case
[Scenario — internal Bakshi Finance assumption] Conditions: Robotaxi commercial launch succeeds and FSD reaches L4 — supporting elevated multiples and EPS expansion above current levels.
Base Case
[Scenario — internal Bakshi Finance assumption] Conditions: Op Margin stabilizes around 5-6%, EV growth recovers moderately, narrative holds without a decisive catalyst.
Bear Case
[Scenario — internal Bakshi Finance assumption] Conditions: BYD continues to lead globally, FSD delays persist — leading to multiple de-rating and operating margins compressing to low-single-digits.
The framework describes conditions, not forecasts. There is no preferred direction, probability assessment, or price target embedded in this framework.
10

Analytical Lens — The Questions We Ask

In professional company analysis, the question is not "is this good," but "from which angles must the company be examined so as not to miss the essence." Every analysis at Bakshi Finance is run through six lenses. The text below is not an evaluation — it is the mapping of questions this analysis is meant to address.

The analysis is based on an internal multi-factor analytical framework used in professional portfolio management. The framework maps the questions; the answers appear woven through the analysis above.

What the lens is not: there is no rating, no score, no comparison between this company and another, and no preference. The same six questions are asked of every company on the site — the variation is in the answers, not in the tool.

This framework is intended to structure analysis, not to produce an investment conclusion.

Growth
How is the company growing? Does growth come from volume, price, or mix? Is it stable across cycles?
Profitability
How do margins behave over time? How much of accounting profit translates into actual free cash flow?
Leverage
What is the capital structure? How flexibly can the company handle a downturn or higher financing costs?
Competitive Position
What protects its revenues from erosion? How long is that protection likely to hold?
Management Quality
How does management allocate capital? What is its track record on strategic decisions?
Business Complexity / Risk
Where would a simplistic analysis go wrong? What is exposed to regulation, cyclicality, or technological shifts?

Key Observations

This summary is not a recommendation. It is a factual list of what the analysis identified. The decision — belongs to the client.

Disclosure — Family Office Format

Bakshi Finance operates in a Family Office format, serving qualified investors only. Mr. Yaron Bakshi held a licensed investment advisor license from 2008 to 2023. As of the publication date of this document, the company does not hold an investment advisory, investment marketing, or portfolio management license. This document is intended for research and professional educational purposes only. Nothing herein constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, hold, or take any action with respect to securities. Nothing herein is a substitute for advice that takes into account the data and needs of any individual person. Every decision — is the sole responsibility of the investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results.